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Post Info TOPIC: Future Predictions


Hamilton On Rod-side Member Amsoil Dealer

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Future Predictions
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An email I received the other day. Interesting read. How much will come true in our lifetime....

 

A lengthy read but we'd all do well to heed what's coming our way OR

ignore what is already here.

Really is food for thought...and scary too....pick your job carefully

if you are young

The Future

Auto repair shops will go away.

A gasoline engine has 20,000 individual parts. An electrical motor has

20. Electric cars are sold with lifetime guarantees and are only

repaired by dealers. It takes only 10 minutes to remove and replace an

electric motor. Faulty electric motors are not repaired in the

dealership but are sent to a regional repair shop that repairs them

with robots. Your electric motor malfunction light goes on, so you

drive up to what looks like a Jiffy-auto wash, and your car is towed

through while you have a cup of coffee and out comes your car with a

new electric motor!

Gas stations will go away. Parking meters will be replaced by meters

that dispense electricity. Companies will install electrical

recharging stations; in fact, they’ve already started. You can find

them at select Dunkin Donuts locations.

 Most (the smart) major auto manufacturers have already designated

money to start building new plants that only build electric cars.

 Coal industries will go away. Gasoline/oil companies will go away.

Drilling for oil will stop. So say goodbye to OPEC!

 Homes will produce and store more electrical energy during the day and

then they use and will sell it back to the grid. The grid stores it

and dispenses it to industries that are high electricity users. Has

anybody seen the Tesla roof?

 A baby of today will only see personal cars in museums.

 The FUTURE is approaching faster than most of us can handle.

 In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper

worldwide. Within just a few years, their business model disappeared

and they went bankrupt. Who would have thought of that ever happening?

 What happened to Kodak will happen in a lot of industries in the next

5-10 years and, most people don't see it coming.

 Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later, you would never take

pictures on film again? With today’s smart phones, who even has a

camera these days?

Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975. The first ones only had

10,000 pixels, but followed Moore's law. So as with all exponential

technologies, it was a disappointment for a time, before it became way

superior and became mainstream in only a few short years. It will now

happen again (but much faster) with Artificial Intelligence, health,

autonomous and electric cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and

jobs.

 Forget the book, “Future Shock”, welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution.

Software has disrupted and will continue to disrupt most traditional

industries in the next 5-10 years.

 UBER is just a software tool, they don't own any cars, and are now the

biggest taxi company in the world!

Ask any taxi driver if they saw that coming.

 Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although they

don't own any properties.

Ask Hilton Hotels if they saw that coming.

 Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially better in

understanding the world.

This year, a computer beat the best Go-player in the world, 10 years

earlier than expected.

 In the USA, young lawyers already don't get jobs. Because of IBM's

Watson, you can get legal advice (so far for right now, the basic

stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy

when done by humans. So, if you study law, stop immediately. There

will be 90% fewer lawyers in the future, (what a thought!) only

omniscient specialists will remain.

 Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, its 4 times more

accurate than human nurses.

 Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can recognize

faces better than humans. In 2030, computers will become more

intelligent than humans.

 Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self-driving cars are already here.

In the next 2 years, the entire industry will start to be disrupted.

You won't want to own a car anymore as you will call a car with your

phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your

destination. You will not need to park it you will only pay for the

driven distance and you can be productive while driving. The very

young children of today will never get a driver's license and will

never own a car.

This will change our cities, because we will need 90-95% fewer cars.

We can transform former parking spaces into parks.

 1.2 million people die each year in car accidents worldwide including

distracted or drunk driving. We now have one accident every 60,000

miles; with autonomous driving that will drop to 1 accident in 6

million miles. That will save a million lives plus worldwide each

year.

 Most traditional car companies will doubtless become bankrupt.

Traditional car companies will try the evolutionary approach and just

build a better car, while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will

do the revolutionary approach and build a computer on wheels.

 Look at what Volvo is doing right now; no more internal combustions

engines in their vehicles starting this year with the 2019 models,

using all electric or hybrid only, with the intent of phasing out

hybrid models.

 Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi; are completely terrified of

Tesla and so they should be. Look at all the companies offering all

electric vehicles. That was unheard of, only a few years ago.

 Insurance companies will have massive trouble because, without

accidents, the costs will become cheaper. Their car insurance business

model will disappear.

 Real estate will change. Because if you can work while you commute,

people will move farther away to live in a more beautiful or

affordable neighborhood.

Electric cars will become mainstream about 2030. Cities will be less

noisy because all new cars will run on electricity.

Cities will have much cleaner air as well. (Can we start in Los

Angeles, please?)

 Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean.

 Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years, but

you can now see the burgeoning impact.

And it’s just getting ramped up.

 Fossil energy companies are desperately trying to limit access to the

grid to prevent competition from home solar installations, but that

simply cannot continue - technology will take care of that strategy.

Health: The Tricorder X price will be announced this year. There are

companies who will build a medical device (called the "Tricorder" from

Star Trek) that works with your phone, which takes your retina scan,

your blood sample and you breath into it. It then analyses 54

bio-markers that will identify nearly any Disease. There are dozens of

phone apps out there right now for health purposes.

 

WELCOME TO TOMORROW – it actually arrived a few years ago.

 

 



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St.Thomas On member

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This topic comes up in the garage quite regularly. I personally think the majority of that article will happen sooner that many of us think. If there was an affordable midsize electric car on the market today I would buy one.

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Hamilton On Rod-side Member Amsoil Dealer

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Yes there is enough truth in the article for which some is already happened that you have to wonder about the rest of the things they are claiming.. pretty hard to imagine a nice Deuce 3 window powered by an electric motor.

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"Fatchuk" Rod-side member Board administration & clean up guy

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Well I just hope I live long enough that, I can still be a friend of the Deciples of Speed so I can smell burning rubber and not the smell of an electric motor all burned up.. I hope I don't ever have an electric Car.. I will leave that for my grand-pups.. I like the smell of a combustion explosion and burning tires and I especially love a nice cackle and all the noise from a good set of pipes.. I want to be buried in a street rod.. But, I do beleive we are already in the next revolution in the economy and in the way we live.. Some things are good and some things suck in my opinion.. 

Image result for future Electric cartoon car gifs



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Vineland On Rod-Side Member

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I have to agree with everyone's opinion so far as hot-rodding is an intensely personal en-devour.

But....there are automobiles being built as we speak that have enhanced or artificially produced exhaust tones - so you'll be okay Chuck, lol. You could own any manufacturer's model with an electric motor that will produce more instantaneous torque than your tires or neck can handle. Just ask Garlits. And it can sound the part.

I too like the smell in my barn when I fire up one of the convertibles...and there is NOTHING like burnt rubber and racing fuel wafting through the air at a race track but again - artificial scents can be produced - or neutralized, just drive downwind from your local dump/refuse/re-cycling plant.

My oldest son teaches Re-newable Energies in a local College. He's an Electrical Engineer so I think he's capable of rendering an opinion. He tells me that a lot of the suggestions in the article above have merit but some are still lagging in the technologies to be real.....today. With advances in those technologies the same might not be true tomorrow so, get ready folks. It's going to be interesting.

My two cents?....I love the smell, sound, vibrations in our Falcon when I fire her up to take my Grand-daughter for a spin.....but I'd also like to leave her's and future generations a cleaner world to live in so I'll need to adjust.



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Foxboro On Rod-side Member

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 like he said above, were all going to have to make some adjustments before too long, i think, probably sooner than later my guess. i seen on the boob tube something a week or so ago from the u.s. government that if we don't do something now to fix stuff environmentally that there will be some bad things happening within the next 100 years here in north america and around the world as a whole. it is a mandated review that takes place every x? number of years by a collection of scientists and what caught my attention was the 100 year number and knowing trump had pulled out of the kyoto accord. humph!
  the 100 year number caught me because it is a number that puts this environment stuff onto my kids laps and definitely the grand kids and it got me thinking. last september i was a pall bearer for my last aunt on dads side who passed at the age of 99 just 1 month short of the 100 mark. at the reception after the funeral some of the discussion got into what all she had seen change in her lifetime and someone mentioned what all her dad, grand-pop, had seen in his 87 yrs also. there weren't many cars around in 1885 and he lived long enough to see a man walking on the moon. 1885 to 1972, moonwalk 1969 and i know he still had his smarts up till just before he passed. they were talking some very serious things happening in the mid-west and southern states with-in the next 100 yrs if things don't change and that's when i remembered the talk at the reception about what all they had seen change and and it's not really that long ago in the big picture.






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http://lightspeedmetaldesign.com/

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GMDad wrote:

The Future

Auto repair shops will go away.

A gasoline engine has 20,000 individual parts. An electrical motor has

20. Electric cars are sold with lifetime guarantees and are only

repaired by dealers. It takes only 10 minutes to remove and replace an

electric motor. Faulty electric motors are not repaired in the

dealership but are sent to a regional repair shop that repairs them

with robots. Your electric motor malfunction light goes on, so you

drive up to what looks like a Jiffy-auto wash, and your car is towed

through while you have a cup of coffee and out comes your car with a

new electric motor!

I don't think so, there is no way a gas engine has that many parts, I've a few a apart. Not to mention modern engines don't break it's everything around them that does.

Brakes, tires, A/c repairs etc will still need to be fixed. 

Gas stations will go away. Parking meters will be replaced by meters

that dispense electricity. Companies will install electrical

recharging stations; in fact, they’ve already started. You can find

them at select Dunkin Donuts locations.

Until they can come up with  a more efficient way of storing electricity and charging batteries, not going to happen.

 Most (the smart) major auto manufacturers have already designated

money to start building new plants that only build electric cars.

 Coal industries will go away. Gasoline/oil companies will go away.

Drilling for oil will stop. So say goodbye to OPEC!

The world runs on diesel. At any time in North America there is approximately 1,000,000 semi trucks on the road (that's moving,not counting the sitting ones). Each one  will burn about 100 gallons of diesel each day.

That's 100,000,000 gallons of diesel burnt each day. These trucks only account for about 15% of the diesel burned.

Remember, if you bought it, a truck brought it!

 Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi; are completely terrified of

Tesla and so they should be. Look at all the companies offering all

electric vehicles. That was unheard of, only a few years ago.

Tesla still hasn't made a profit, how long will that continue?
Electric stuff certainly has  evolved but how much more will it improve. The Browning 1911 hand gun is over 100 years, still produced today, and many copy versions.
Airplane design hasn't changed much in 50 -60 years.
Bottom line is stuff has to be moved around the country, it takes energy in some form to do it. If gas and diesel stops it has to be replaced by a equal amount of something else.
If we could capture lighting and store it some how we would have more than enough electricity to run the world. But we haven't got any thing that's close to be able to do that.
My whole life has revolved around the petroleum industry. 30 years as a mechanic, now hauling fuel for  a living. To all the fun things I like to do, hot rodding, riding motorcycles etc.
I can predict one thing for sure, If I work hard today, I will have a job tomorrow.
Just my 2 cents.

 

 


 



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Race starter St.Thomas Drags Rod-side Aylmer On Member

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Lightspeed Mike wrote:
GMDad wrote:

The Future

Auto repair shops will go away.

A gasoline engine has 20,000 individual parts. An electrical motor has

20. Electric cars are sold with lifetime guarantees and are only

repaired by dealers. It takes only 10 minutes to remove and replace an

electric motor. Faulty electric motors are not repaired in the

dealership but are sent to a regional repair shop that repairs them

with robots. Your electric motor malfunction light goes on, so you

drive up to what looks like a Jiffy-auto wash, and your car is towed

through while you have a cup of coffee and out comes your car with a

new electric motor!

I don't think so, there is no way a gas engine has that many parts, I've a few a apart. Not to mention modern engines don't break it's everything around them that does.

Brakes, tires, A/c repairs etc will still need to be fixed. 

 

Gas stations will go away. Parking meters will be replaced by meters

that dispense electricity. Companies will install electrical

recharging stations; in fact, they’ve already started. You can find

them at select Dunkin Donuts locations.

Until they can come up with  a more efficient way of storing electricity and charging batteries, not going to happen.

 Most (the smart) major auto manufacturers have already designated

money to start building new plants that only build electric cars.

 Coal industries will go away. Gasoline/oil companies will go away.

Drilling for oil will stop. So say goodbye to OPEC!

The world runs on diesel. At any time in North America there is approximately 1,000,000 semi trucks on the road (that's moving,not counting the sitting ones). Each one  will burn about 100 gallons of diesel each day.

That's 100,000,000 gallons of diesel burnt each day. These trucks only account for about 15% of the diesel burned.

Remember, if you bought it, a truck brought it!

 Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi; are completely terrified of

Tesla and so they should be. Look at all the companies offering all

electric vehicles. That was unheard of, only a few years ago.

Tesla still hasn't made a profit, how long will that continue?
Electric stuff certainly has  evolved but how much more will it improve. The Browning 1911 hand gun is over 100 years, still produced today, and many copy versions.
Airplane design hasn't changed much in 50 -60 years.
Bottom line is stuff has to be moved around the country, it takes energy in some form to do it. If gas and diesel stops it has to be replaced by a equal amount of something else.
If we could capture lighting and store it some how we would have more than enough electricity to run the world. But we haven't got any thing that's close to be able to do that.
My whole life has revolved around the petroleum industry. 30 years as a mechanic, now hauling fuel for  a living. To all the fun things I like to do, hot rodding, riding motorcycles etc.
I can predict one thing for sure, If I work hard today, I will have a job tomorrow.
Just my 2 cents.

 

 


 


 I agree with Lightspeed Mike; only until the 1% decide that they have had enough wealth and want to save the 'planet' will these things happen.blankstare

junior



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Kemptville Ont Carpenter/Renovations

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Interesting thoughts for sure. Changing is always difficult but we need to adapt. Some of this will create new jobs as well. The way I see it,a lot of success in electric cars will depend on the cost of electricity. At one time we were encouraged to switch to electric heat,then the price went way up. Currently it is under priced based on future people paying off the deficit. As an interesting side note. A friend of mine has 2 Tesla's. One he's had for a year. He's a geek and tracked the cost for one for the first year he had it. Drove approximately 29000 km. He spent approximately$700 in electricity. This was monitored using some device on his panel. If he used gas at $1.15 per litre he would have spent approximately$3400. The second car he just got so will see how that works out

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Niagara Falls Rod-Side Member

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Tim Allen is building this electric 34 vicky......a sign of the future



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Hydraulic Service Dundas On

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No point in worrying about drowning when you were born to hang......



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Vineland On Rod-Side Member

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Slim wrote:

No point in worrying about drowning when you were born to hang......


 One of my favourites, thanks Slim



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